FantasyFootballGuidebook.com finishes 4th out fo 20 Experts in Fantasy Index Magazine RB Rankings for 2018

FantasyFootballGuidebook.com finishes 4th out fo 20 Experts in Fantasy Index Magazine RB Rankings for 2018
Fantasy Football Rankings

Michael Nease was super aggressive with his running back picks in the Experts Poll last year; with seven different running backs, he ranked them higher or lower than any of the 19 other analysts. And Nease hit on enough of those picks to outperform the rest of the field at this position.
It wasn’t pretty at times. Nease ranked Todd Gurley (6th) and Saquon Barkley (12th) a lot lower than anyone else – picks that rightfully cost him a ton of points. They finished as the top-2 scoring running backs (using standard scoring).
But Nease hit on enough other picks to salvage the best score. He ranked Alvin Kamara as his No. 1 back, for example, which was about 4 spots higher than the vast majority of experts. The Kamara pick helped to essentially cancel one of his misses on Gurley and Barkley. He was also one of only two experts to rank LeVeon Bell just 5th, which paid off when Bell didn’t even play (most ranked Bell either 2nd or 3rd). Similarly, Nease ranked Devonta Freeman only 17th, about 5 spots lower than most; that also paid off big-time when Freeman missed most of the season.
Nease was also among the highest on Christian McCaffrey (13th), which ended up being a huge boon.
Total them up and Nease, who writes for Big Guy Fantasy Sports, ended up in the top spot using our complex scoring system. In this contest, you don’t draft players. Instead, everyone in your top 20 counts; the higher you rank them, the more they count towards your score.
Bob Henry of Football Guys finished 2nd in this category. Patrick Chance took 3rd. Unlike 18 of the other contestants, Chance isn’t an industry writer. Instead, he earned a berth in the competition by finishing in the top 2 in the Fantasy Index Open last year. (Speaking of the open, those scores will be released early in the week.)

EXPERTS POLL, RUNNING BACKS (standard scoring)
Analyst Points
Michael Nease 55,992
Bob Henry 55,512
Patrick Chance 54,749
Sam Hendricks 54,396
Michael Nazarek 54,272
Justin Eleff 53,947
Scott Pianowski 53,551
Lenny Pappano 53,547
Paul Charchian 53,309
Cory Bonini 53,208
Jody Smith 52,716
Jesse Pantuosco 52,648
David Dorey 52,572
Harold Simons 51,868
Alan Satterlee 51,858
Chris Liss 51,573
Tony Holm 51,437
Aaron Bland 49,768
Jeff Ratcliffe 49,495
Mike Clay 49,383

With this competition, attrition tends to play a huge role. Rank a player like LeVeon Bell, Derrius Guice or Devonta Freeman too high, and you’re screwed. Those kind of players, in fact, end up being more important than how you happened to order guys like Gurley, Barkley, McCaffrey and Ezekiel Elliott.
With that in mind, we also score the poll using more of a Value-Based Drafting system. In such a format, you pull out the starters at each position – 12 QB, K, TE and Def, 24 RB and 24 WRs – and look at who was the best at identifying them. The rest of the players, get moved to the side (you just assume that everyone else produced the same as the best backup at each position).
Using the VBD scoring system, Patrick Chance, Sam Hendricks (Extra Point Press) and Henry were the top finishers, with Nease falling back towards the middle of the pack.
It’s a reminder that these picks can be scored in various plausible ways.

EXPERTS POLL, RUNNING BACKS (VBD scoring)
Analyst Points
Patrick Chance 21,695
Sam Hendricks 21,479
Bob Henry 21,330
Michael Nazarek 20,993
Scott Pianowski 20,954
Lenny Pappano 20,931
Jesse Pantuosco 20,915
Michael Nease 20,915
Justin Eleff 20,847
David Dorey 20,659
Harold Simons 20,489
Alan Satterlee 20,455
Paul Charchian 20,375
Jody Smith 20,343
Cory Bonini 20,189
Chris Liss 19,346
Mike Clay 19,256
Tony Holm 18,864
Aaron Bland 18,710
Jeff Ratcliffe 18,655

With one position left to grade, Bob Henry is the overall leader, with Nease, Michael Nazarek, Scott Pianowski and Lenny Pappano close behind. Henry has finished 4th, 2nd and 2nd in the last three positions to overcome a slow start.
The last position, however, is the one with the most points at stake: quarterbacks. Those will be tabulated on Sunday.

EXPERTS POLL, OVERALL (standard scoring)
Analyst Def PK TE WR RB Points
Bob Henry 14 15 4 2 2 204,738
Michael Nease 16 18 9 4 1 203,874
Michael Nazarek 11 2 3 12 5 203,444
Scott Pianowski 10 1 8 6 7 203,095
Lenny Pappano 5 19 2 3 8 203,048
Sam Hendricks 17 10 6 5 4 202,869
Patrick Chance 6 9 11 10 3 202,676
Alan Satterlee 15 12 1 1 15 202,463
Paul Charchian 1 4 15 8 9 201,396
Jesse Pantuosco 8 3 10 14 12 200,906
Justin Eleff 2 14 14 17 6 200,054
David Dorey 12 16 7 16 13 199,673
Chris Liss 3 11 5 18 16 199,633
Cory Bonini 9 8 20 7 10 199,342
Harold Simons 4 5 17 11 14 198,769
Jody Smith 13 7 19 15 11 198,228
Tony Holm 18 17 13 19 17 196,332
Jeff Ratcliffe 7 13 18 9 19 195,585
Mike Clay 20 6 16 13 20 194,188
Aaron Bland 19 20 12 20 18 194,073

Using the VBD scoring system, Henry and Nease are also in the top 2 spots with only one position left to score.

EXPERTS POLL, OVERALL (VBD scoring)
Analyst Def PK TE WR RB Points
Bob Henry 15 16 1 1 3 50,022
Michael Nease 9 12 4 2 8 49,448
Lenny Pappano 11 11 3 4 6 49,305
Patrick Chance 7 18 8 11 1 49,072
Scott Pianowski 3 6 11 7 5 49,035
Sam Hendricks 17 4 9 8 2 48,942
Alan Satterlee 18 13 2 3 12 48,623
Michael Nazarek 13 3 5 16 4 48,435
David Dorey 1 9 6 17 10 48,223
Jesse Pantuosco 12 8 10 14 7 48,162
Paul Charchian 2 2 16 6 13 47,918
Harold Simons 8 7 19 9 11 47,158
Cory Bonini 4 1 20 5 15 47,027
Chris Liss 5 10 12 13 16 46,770
Justin Eleff 10 17 15 19 9 46,770
Jody Smith 16 14 13 15 14 46,480
Jeff Ratcliffe 14 19 17 10 20 45,134
Aaron Bland 19 5 7 20 19 44,979
Tony Holm 6 15 14 18 18 44,935
Mike Clay 20 20 18 12 17 44,611
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